Latest CNN-GALLUP Poll
 

49-49, Bush v. Kerry. A big drop for Bush.

Now...did the Gallup Poll maintain the same bias towards the number of
Republican v. Democrats polled? If it did, then the poll is still skewed
in Bush's favor.




--
We today have a president of the United States who looks like he is the
son of Howdy Doody or Alfred E. Newman, who isn't smarter than either of
them, who is arrogant about his ignorance, who is reckless and
incompetent, and whose backers are turning the United States into a pariah.

What, me worry?

"Harry Krause" wrote in message
...
49-49, Bush v. Kerry. A big drop for Bush.

Now...did the Gallup Poll maintain the same bias towards the number of
Republican v. Democrats polled? If it did, then the poll is still skewed
in Bush's favor.

Was this poll heavily weighted with Democrats too?

On Sun, 3 Oct 2004 18:42:41 -0400, "Bert Robbins"
wrote:


"Harry Krause" wrote in message
...
49-49, Bush v. Kerry. A big drop for Bush.

Now...did the Gallup Poll maintain the same bias towards the number of
Republican v. Democrats polled? If it did, then the poll is still skewed
in Bush's favor.

Was this poll heavily weighted with Democrats too?

As long as the next election is also, who cares?

bb

bb wrote:
On Sun, 3 Oct 2004 18:42:41 -0400, "Bert Robbins"
wrote:


"Harry Krause" wrote in message
...
49-49, Bush v. Kerry. A big drop for Bush.

Now...did the Gallup Poll maintain the same bias towards the number of
Republican v. Democrats polled? If it did, then the poll is still skewed
in Bush's favor.

Was this poll heavily weighted with Democrats too?

As long as the next election is also, who cares?

bb



Well, if Gallup did not change the weighting of its poll, it means that
the reality is Kerry is ahead of Bush, not tied.

--
We today have a president of the United States who looks like he is the
son of Howdy Doody or Alfred E. Newman, who isn't smarter than either of
them, who is arrogant about his ignorance, who is reckless and
incompetent, and whose backers are turning the United States into a pariah.

What, me worry?

On Sun, 03 Oct 2004 18:12:58 -0400, Harry Krause wrote:

49-49, Bush v. Kerry. A big drop for Bush.

Now...did the Gallup Poll maintain the same bias towards the number of
Republican v. Democrats polled? If it did, then the poll is still skewed
in Bush's favor.

I read something interesting about Gallup polls. Their polls are
sensitive by design to track movement. Bush's lead had been inflated.

**
Gallup recognizes that their likely-voter model encourages wider swings
- but they say that swing is what they want to measure. "Gallup looks
for movement," explains Frank Newport, the editor of the Gallup Poll.
"Ours is more sensitive than other polls, so that we can see changes."
Jim Norman, the polling director for USA Today, which along with CNN has
an exclusive arrangement with Gallup, also acknowledges that their system
"at certain times exaggerates the turnout from one party or another."
**

From:

http://www.laweekly.com/ink/04/45/news-bearman.php

thunder wrote:
On Sun, 03 Oct 2004 18:12:58 -0400, Harry Krause wrote:

49-49, Bush v. Kerry. A big drop for Bush.

Now...did the Gallup Poll maintain the same bias towards the number of
Republican v. Democrats polled? If it did, then the poll is still skewed
in Bush's favor.

I read something interesting about Gallup polls. Their polls are
sensitive by design to track movement. Bush's lead had been inflated.

**
Gallup recognizes that their likely-voter model encourages wider swings
- but they say that swing is what they want to measure. "Gallup looks
for movement," explains Frank Newport, the editor of the Gallup Poll.
"Ours is more sensitive than other polls, so that we can see changes."
Jim Norman, the polling director for USA Today, which along with CNN has
an exclusive arrangement with Gallup, also acknowledges that their system
"at certain times exaggerates the turnout from one party or another."
**

From:

http://www.laweekly.com/ink/04/45/news-bearman.php


Hey...thanks much!


--
We today have a president of the United States who looks like he is the
son of Howdy Doody or Alfred E. Newman, who isn't smarter than either of
them, who is arrogant about his ignorance, who is reckless and
incompetent, and whose backers are turning the United States into a pariah.

What, me worry?