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Interesting NH Analysis..
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Interesting NH Analysis..
On Thursday, February 11, 2016 at 7:02:06 PM UTC-6, Keyser Sze wrote:
On 2/11/16 7:55 PM, wrote: On Thu, 11 Feb 2016 16:34:05 -0500, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 2/11/2016 3:53 PM, Keyser Sze wrote: Among the numerous factors which make the New Hampshire primary unique and far from representative of what's likely to happen in the remainder of the race, residents of the state can show up and vote on either the democratic or republican side without being registered for that party.. It means the unusually large number of antiestablishment independents in the state can prop up an outsider candidate who isn't popular with voters in that party. It also means residents who belong to one party can vote against the frontrunner in the other party's primary just to sabotage things. When you strip the hijinks away, it turns out registered democrats in New Hampshire actually favored Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders in equal measure last night. According to respected political analyst site FiveThirtyEight, the entire margin that Bernie Sanders won by in New Hampshire consisted of non-democrats who voted for him. With those votes stripped away, the site reports that Sanders and Clinton finished "tied" among actual democrats. Furthermore, Sanders scored seventy percent of the vote in the New Hampshire counties which directly border his home state of Vermont. If you further remove those home-field voters, it turns out Hillary Clinton received more votes from New Hampshire democrats than Bernie Sanders did. And that's before getting to the superdelegates, which she dominated. http://tinyurl.com/jfv6uuz If registered Democrats split equally between Hillary and Bernie, it says a lot more about and for Bernie than it does the Democratic presumptive nominee we've heard all about since she formally announced her candidacy. If my fellow Independents racked up the votes for Bernie instead of Hillary, it says a lot more about the general mood and feelings by many in the nation about her candidacy. Since 43% of the voters in NH are undeclared, throwing out their votes is pretty much just throwing out the election and choosing the winner. When do you suppose the southern repugnants will unleash the "he's a commie new york jew" nastiness against bernie? If it would be done, you just did. Atta-boy, Krause! |
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