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Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it
can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
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Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze
wrote: On 10/29/15 10:11 AM, wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I have $3.599 (reg u/l) by labor day in the pool. Don't forget the "annual" gouge price increases for Memorial Day and July 4th Weekends. I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outsideEurope's ports
On 10/29/15 10:34 AM, wrote:
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: On 10/29/15 10:11 AM, wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I have $3.599 (reg u/l) by labor day in the pool. Don't forget the "annual" gouge price increases for Memorial Day and July 4th Weekends. I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. How would we possibly know what the Saudi's "production costs" are, since they own their own oil and use cheap imported labor for the real work in their country? Plus, they have strong political reasons at the moment to keep the prices low. Oil pricing is just another corporate sham. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:39:24 -0400, Keyser Söze
wrote: Oil pricing is just another corporate sham. === Harry, self proclaimed expert on all things corporate, just emitted another loud and smelly brain fart. Very predictable. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outsideEurope's ports
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze
wrote: - show quoted text - I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. ..... Probably using the same tactic the cartels pulled in the 80s to bust their world competitors, then raise it back |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing upoutside Europe's ports
Tim wrote:
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: - show quoted text - I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. .... Probably using the same tactic the cartels pulled in the 80s to bust their world competitors, then raise it back I doubt it is below their production cost. Their cost is very low. A lot lower than our costs. They do not require pumps on the wells, and have 13" casings. I think ours are 6". Lots of gas pressure forces out the oil. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:33:42 -0700 (PDT), Tim
wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: - show quoted text - I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. .... Probably using the same tactic the cartels pulled in the 80s to bust their world competitors, then raise it back === I don't think the Saudis have control of the market anymore. Obviously they'd like to maintain market share and see some of the competition go away but as soon as prices start to go back up, alternative sources like shale oil and liquified natural gas become cost effective again. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outsideEurope's ports
On 10/29/15 12:40 PM, Califbill wrote:
Tim wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: - show quoted text - I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. .... Probably using the same tactic the cartels pulled in the 80s to bust their world competitors, then raise it back I doubt it is below their production cost. Their cost is very low. A lot lower than our costs. They do not require pumps on the wells, and have 13" casings. I think ours are 6". Lots of gas pressure forces out the oil. I agree, and, further, we don't really know what the Saudi production costs are, even if they tell us what they think we should know about them. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:39:24 -0400, Keyser Söze
wrote: On 10/29/15 10:34 AM, wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: On 10/29/15 10:11 AM, wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I have $3.599 (reg u/l) by labor day in the pool. Don't forget the "annual" gouge price increases for Memorial Day and July 4th Weekends. I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. How would we possibly know what the Saudi's "production costs" are, since they own their own oil and use cheap imported labor for the real work in their country? Plus, they have strong political reasons at the moment to keep the prices low. Oil pricing is just another corporate sham. The financial rags have been talking about this for a while. Oil production costs are not a state secret. I agree it is a manipulated market but the biggest manipulators are the Saudis and the gulf states. Everyone else is just hanging on and hoping it will stop. Since the Russians are one of the countries hurting the most and they support Assad, it does make some immediate sense but the oil producers also like the idea of stifling alternate energy programs, Keystone and fracking. This is also the classic behavior of a drug pusher. The first one is always cheap. When gas is $2 a gallon, people are more likely to buy an SUV and not a Leaf. Once they own it, they are hooked. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
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Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing upoutside Europe's ports
wrote:
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:39:24 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: On 10/29/15 10:34 AM, wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: On 10/29/15 10:11 AM, wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I have $3.599 (reg u/l) by labor day in the pool. Don't forget the "annual" gouge price increases for Memorial Day and July 4th Weekends. I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. How would we possibly know what the Saudi's "production costs" are, since they own their own oil and use cheap imported labor for the real work in their country? Plus, they have strong political reasons at the moment to keep the prices low. Oil pricing is just another corporate sham. The financial rags have been talking about this for a while. Oil production costs are not a state secret. I agree it is a manipulated market but the biggest manipulators are the Saudis and the gulf states. Everyone else is just hanging on and hoping it will stop. Since the Russians are one of the countries hurting the most and they support Assad, it does make some immediate sense but the oil producers also like the idea of stifling alternate energy programs, Keystone and fracking. This is also the classic behavior of a drug pusher. The first one is always cheap. When gas is $2 a gallon, people are more likely to buy an SUV and not a Leaf. Once they own it, they are hooked. Years ago when oil was $2.50 a barrel, we paid Saudi's $0.25 a barrel. Estimated production cost at the end of the pipeline at the wharf was $0.10. Their costs have gone up its inflation, but not much more than inflation. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:54:24 -0700, Califbill billnews wrote:
The financial rags have been talking about this for a while. Oil production costs are not a state secret. I agree it is a manipulated market but the biggest manipulators are the Saudis and the gulf states. Everyone else is just hanging on and hoping it will stop. Since the Russians are one of the countries hurting the most and they support Assad, it does make some immediate sense but the oil producers also like the idea of stifling alternate energy programs, Keystone and fracking. This is also the classic behavior of a drug pusher. The first one is always cheap. When gas is $2 a gallon, people are more likely to buy an SUV and not a Leaf. Once they own it, they are hooked. Years ago when oil was $2.50 a barrel, we paid Saudi's $0.25 a barrel. Estimated production cost at the end of the pipeline at the wharf was $0.10. Their costs have gone up its inflation, but not much more than inflation. I will defer to people who do this for a living to decide what it costs the Saudis but the real issue is what it costs everyone else. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:40:23 -0700, Califbill billnews wrote:
Tim wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: - show quoted text - I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. .... Probably using the same tactic the cartels pulled in the 80s to bust their world competitors, then raise it back I doubt it is below their production cost. Their cost is very low. A lot lower than our costs. They do not require pumps on the wells, and have 13" casings. I think ours are 6". Lots of gas pressure forces out the oil. === The real cost to the Saudis is what it costs them in drilling and exploration expenses to maintain current flow, plus their infrastructure costs which are quite low. There are probably some numbers available on their drilling and exploration expenses since they contract that out. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing upoutside Europe's ports
wrote:
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:40:23 -0700, Califbill billnews wrote: Tim wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: - show quoted text - I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. .... Probably using the same tactic the cartels pulled in the 80s to bust their world competitors, then raise it back I doubt it is below their production cost. Their cost is very low. A lot lower than our costs. They do not require pumps on the wells, and have 13" casings. I think ours are 6". Lots of gas pressure forces out the oil. === The real cost to the Saudis is what it costs them in drilling and exploration expenses to maintain current flow, plus their infrastructure costs which are quite low. There are probably some numbers available on their drilling and exploration expenses since they contract that out. How much exploration is going on there? I bet there are seismic recordings of ever square meter of the country. Maybe run the data through newer, better algorithm. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
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Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
Keyser Söze wrote:
How would we possibly know what the Saudi's "production costs" are, Who do you think actually runs their refineries for them. And who built them in the first place? -- Paul Hovnanian ------------------------------------------------------------------ Shoot low, sheriff. They're riding Shetlands! |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outsideEurope's ports
On 10/30/15 9:22 PM, Paul Hovnanian P.E. wrote:
Keyser Söze wrote: How would we possibly know what the Saudi's "production costs" are, Who do you think actually runs their refineries for them. And who built them in the first place? I'm sure the information is readily available at any Saudi princes-only web page. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 11:58:59 -0400, Keyser Söze
wrote: On 10/30/15 9:22 PM, Paul Hovnanian P.E. wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: How would we possibly know what the Saudi's "production costs" are, Who do you think actually runs their refineries for them. And who built them in the first place? I'm sure the information is readily available at any Saudi princes-only web page. I bet your old buddy Dick Cheney knows. (or anyone else at Haliburton) There are a few western oil field services companies that do virtually all of that work for the Gulf states. Like I said earlier, it is not a state secret. The US doesn't own the oil but we own the technology that gets it out of the ground and off to market. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
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Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 17:09:08 -0400, John H.
wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I am not complaining, nor is my wife! === Nor am I, in fact it looks like it's just about time to fill up the trawler for a winter excursion, maybe Cuba. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 17:09:08 -0400, John H.
wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I am not complaining, nor is my wife! Buck 95 today at Costco. I may wait a few days before I fill up my boat cans tho, just to see how good it gets. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 17:26:15 -0400,
wrote: On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 17:09:08 -0400, John H. wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I am not complaining, nor is my wife! === Nor am I, in fact it looks like it's just about time to fill up the trawler for a winter excursion, maybe Cuba. Sounds like a great trip. I am waiting until the Key West Express starts running the fast cat down there. That should be about an 8 hour ride to Havana. I think a day or two would be plenty. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 19:45:12 -0400, wrote:
On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 17:09:08 -0400, John H. wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I am not complaining, nor is my wife! Buck 95 today at Costco. I may wait a few days before I fill up my boat cans tho, just to see how good it gets. === You'll pay more if you drive up to the Ft Myers city marina but you can get straight gasoline there with no alcohol in it. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
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Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 19:45:12 -0400, wrote:
On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 17:09:08 -0400, John H. wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I am not complaining, nor is my wife! Buck 95 today at Costco. I may wait a few days before I fill up my boat cans tho, just to see how good it gets. Diesel was $2.17 in Garrisonville. Can't complain about that. -- Ban idiots, not guns! |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outsideEurope's ports
On Sunday, November 1, 2015 at 5:47:48 AM UTC-6, John H. wrote:
On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 19:45:12 -0400, wrote: On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 17:09:08 -0400, John H. wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I am not complaining, nor is my wife! Buck 95 today at Costco. I may wait a few days before I fill up my boat cans tho, just to see how good it gets. Diesel was $2.17 in Garrisonville. Can't complain about that. -- Ban idiots, not guns! Gasoline 1.85 in Effingham today... |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Sun, 1 Nov 2015 15:49:43 -0800 (PST), Tim
wrote: On Sunday, November 1, 2015 at 5:47:48 AM UTC-6, John H. wrote: On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 19:45:12 -0400, wrote: On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 17:09:08 -0400, John H. wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I am not complaining, nor is my wife! Buck 95 today at Costco. I may wait a few days before I fill up my boat cans tho, just to see how good it gets. Diesel was $2.17 in Garrisonville. Can't complain about that. -- Ban idiots, not guns! Gasoline 1.85 in Effingham today... === The supply chains are awash with fuel right now. Things will probably get better for a while, at least until they start closing refineries for their annual maintenance and winter fuel switch over. |
Unwanted diesel and jet fuel cargoes are backing up outside Europe's ports
On Sun, 1 Nov 2015 15:49:43 -0800 (PST), Tim wrote:
On Sunday, November 1, 2015 at 5:47:48 AM UTC-6, John H. wrote: On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 19:45:12 -0400, wrote: On Sat, 31 Oct 2015 17:09:08 -0400, John H. wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I am not complaining, nor is my wife! Buck 95 today at Costco. I may wait a few days before I fill up my boat cans tho, just to see how good it gets. Diesel was $2.17 in Garrisonville. Can't complain about that. -- Ban idiots, not guns! Gasoline 1.85 in Effingham today... My local diesel guy went up ten cents today. -- Ban idiots, not guns! |
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